Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) the favorite at 99% across 36 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Swedish opposition holds big lead ahead of September vote, poll shows
Swedish opposition holds big lead ahead of September vote, poll shows
A power struggle is breaking out within the Left Party, of all places, in the super election year.
I can only state that in Sweden it is the left that campaigns to spread fear of opponents, with thin factual political content and weak results in government positions.
Swedish government boosts subsidies for energy, fuel in election year spring budget
Swedish government boosts subsidies for energy, fuel in election year spring budget
Swedish PM offers deal that could see far-right allowed into government
Swedish PM Kristersson’s Moderates party wants to form majority government with Sweden Democrats after September election
SWEDISH PRIME MINISTER KRISTERSSON: PM'S MODERATES PARTY WANTS TO FORM MAJORITY GOVERNMENT THAT INCLUDES THE SWEDEN DEMOCRATS PARTY AFTER SEPTEMBER ELECTION
Swedish Prime Minister Kristersson: PM’s Moderates Party Wants to Form Majority Government That Includes the Sweden Democrats Party After September Election
Swedish Liberals and Sweden Democrats agree pact to boost right’s September election chances
Swedish Liberals and Sweden Democrats agree pact to boost right’s September election chances
What is this event about?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).