Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
Open36as of
Market pricing makes Party M the favorite at 50% across 36 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Party M50%
Party N50%
Party O50%
Party P50%
Party Q50%
Party R50%
Party S50%
Party F50%
Party G50%
Party H50%
Party I50%
Party J50%
Party K50%
Party L50%
Party T50%
Party U50%
Party V50%
Party W50%
Party X50%
Party Y50%
Party Z50%
Other50%
Party C50%
Party D50%
All further outcomes (6 more):
Party E · Party B · Centre Party (C) · Left Party (V) · Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) · Sweden Democrats (SD)
What moved the odds?
A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.
What is this event about?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).