Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?
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SpaceX reports a loss of 85 billion yen in its first financial results since going public, citing development costs for AI and space businesses as heavy burdens.
SpaceX's revenue jumped 92 percent in the second quarter, beating analyst expectations by around $1 billion in its first earnings report since going public in June, the company announced Tuesday. • •
SpaceX reports 92% revenue jump in first post-IPO earnings
SpaceX beats expectations to post 92% rise in revenue
SpaceX Q2 Revenue Jumps 92% as Digital Asset Value Falls to $1.10 Billion • • SpaceX reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $7.81 billion, up 92% year over year, while its net loss narrowed to $541 million from $1.01 billion. Adjusted EBITDA rose 191% to $3.54 billion. Connectivity revenue reached $4.29 billion as Starlink subscribers doubled to 12 million. AI revenue surged 247% to $2.56 billion but generated an operating loss of $1.26 billion. Capital expenditure totaled $18.37 billion, of which $15.83 billion was attributable to the AI segment. • • At quarter-end, SpaceX’s digital assets had a carrying value of $1.10 billion, down approximately 33% from $1.64 billion at the end of 2025. The company had previously disclosed holding 18,712 BTC in its IPO filing. SpaceX also held approximately $100 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, while its contract backlog stood at $47.5 billion.
SpaceX Delivered a Strong Earnings Beat After Its Historic IPO. But Questions About Starlink and AI Spending Remain And The Stock Fell.. • Adjusted EBITDA reached $3.5 billion, well above the roughly $2.1 billion analysts had projected, with shares rising in after-hours trading following the release.
JUST IN: SpaceX ($SPCX) exceeded Wall Street expectations in its first quarterly report as a public company, driven by 92% year-over-year revenue growth.
What is this event about?
As of market creation, SpaceX is estimated to release earnings on August 4, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for SpaceX's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.29 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.29 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If SpaceX releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.