SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?
Resolved1as of
This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
$SPCX - SPACEX PLUNGES FROM PEAK • • SpaceX shares fell 4.6% on Friday, extending a sharp slide that has erased more than $1 trillion in market value since June. The stock is now below its IPO price after a Starship launch was aborted because of an engine issue. Despite the setback, the company recently joined the Nasdaq-100 and analysts still see strong upside. • • If you’d like, I can also make it sound more breaking-news, financial, or social-media style.
What is this event about?
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).