South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
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Market pricing makes 3.0–3.4% the favorite at 34% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Bank of Korea raises this year's growth forecast to 3.3%... Effects of semiconductor boom spreading
Bank of Korea Hikes Base Interest Rate for Consecutive Year to 3%… Significantly Raises Growth Forecast to 3.3%
[Update 2] Bank of Korea raises this year's growth forecast from 2.6% to 3.3%... next year from 2.1% to 2.9%
[Update 2] Bank of Korea raises this year's growth forecast from 2.6% to 3.3%... next year from 2.1% to 2.9%
[Update 2] Bank of Korea raises this year's growth forecast from 2.6% to 3.3%... next year from 2.1% to 2.9%
Bank of Korea likely to raise this year's growth forecast to the low-to-mid 3% range
Bank of Korea likely to raise this year's growth forecast to the low-to-mid 3% range
Moody's Doubles South Korea's Growth Forecast to 3.5% in Six Months
Moody's Surprise Upgrades South Korea Growth Forecast to 3.5%... "Semiconductor Boom to Last at Least Mid-Next Year"
Morgan Stanley Raises South Korea's GDP Growth Forecast to 3.4% for This Year... "Korean Economy Recovering Faster Than Expected"
Morgan Stanley Raises South Korea's GDP Growth Forecast to 3.4% for This Year... "Korean Economy Recovering Faster Than Expected"
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01