South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?
Resolved8as of
This hub tracks 8 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
South Korea's GDP grew 0.6% in the April-June quarter, driven by semiconductor and machinery exports, offsetting the impact of rising oil prices.
South Korea's GDP grew 0.6% in the April-June quarter, driven by semiconductor and machinery exports, offsetting the impact of rising oil prices.
South Korea's GDP grew 0.6% in the April-June quarter, driven by semiconductor and machinery exports, offsetting the impact of rising oil prices.
South Korea's GDP grew 0.6% in the April-June quarter, driven by semiconductor and machinery exports, offsetting the impact of rising oil prices.
South Korea's GDP grew 0.6% in the April-June quarter, driven by semiconductor and machinery exports, offsetting the impact of rising oil prices.
South Korea's GDP grew 0.6% in the April-June quarter, driven by semiconductor and machinery exports, offsetting the impact of rising oil prices.
South Korea's Economy Posts 'Surprise Growth' of 0.6% in Q2... Annual 3% Breakthrough Within Sight (Roundup)
South Korea's Economy Posts 'Surprise Growth' of 0.6% in Q2... Annual 3% Breakthrough Within Sight (Roundup)
South Korea's Economy Posts 'Surprise Growth' of 0.6% in Q2... Annual 3% Breakthrough Within Sight (Roundup)
South Korea's Economy Posts 'Surprise Growth' of 0.6% in Q2... Annual 3% Breakthrough Within Sight (Roundup)
South Korea's Economy Posts 'Surprise Growth' of 0.6% in Q2... Annual 3% Breakthrough Within Sight (Roundup)
Citi: "Possibility of Bank of Korea Hike in August... Growth Rate Raised to 3.7%"
Citi: "Possibility of Bank of Korea Hike in August... Growth Rate Raised to 3.7%"
[Breaking] Bank of Korea Governor: "2.6% Growth Forecast Is Too Low... Upward Revision"
BoK: Q2 GDP Growth Seen Higher Than Previous Forecast of 0.2%
BoK: Q2 GDP Growth Seen Higher Than Previous Forecast of 0.2%
[Breaking] Bank of Korea: “This Year’s Growth to Significantly Exceed 2.6%”
[Breaking] Bank of Korea: “This Year’s Growth to Significantly Exceed 2.6%”
[Breaking] Bank of Korea: “This Year’s Growth to Significantly Exceed 2.6%”
South Korea raises its growth forecast for 2026 to 3%
South Korea raises its growth forecast for 2026 to 3%
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected South Korea’s economic growth rate for this year at 2.6%. This represents an upward revision of 0.7 percentage points compared to the figure projected last April, marking the largest increase among the 30 countries included in the report. Conversely, the forecast for global economic growth this year has been lowered to 3.0%, down 0.1 percentage points from last April. The IMF also projected South Korea’s economic growth rate for next year at 2.5%, an upward revision of 0.4 percentage points. This is the highest level among major developed nations. Despite high dependence on energy imports from the Middle East, strong exports of semiconductors and AI hardware have boosted our economy’s growth forecast. While this is undoubtedly good news, we are well aware that it is still difficult for the public to fully feel its impact. We will make further efforts to ensure that high economic growth becomes a reality and leads to 'growth for all,' where the fruits of growth are distributed evenly to all citizens.
ADB raises forecast for South Korea's growth this year to 2.6% by 0.7 percentage points... Inflation raised from 2.3% to 2.7%
ADB raises forecast for South Korea's growth this year to 2.6% by 0.7 percentage points... Inflation raised from 2.3% to 2.7%
[Breaking] IMF Significantly Raises South Korea’s Growth Forecast for This Year to 2.6%... "Strong Semiconductor Exports"
[Breaking] IMF Significantly Raises South Korea’s Growth Forecast for This Year to 2.6%... "Strong Semiconductor Exports"
‘The Power of Semiconductors’: IMF Raises South Korea’s Growth Forecast for This Year from 1.9% to 2.6%
‘The Power of Semiconductors’: IMF Raises South Korea’s Growth Forecast for This Year from 1.9% to 2.6%
IMF Raises Forecast for South Korea’s Growth This Year from 1.9% to 2.6%… Highest Among Developed Countries
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01