South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 20 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): South Dakota Governor Republican Runoff • • Larry Rhoden (R): 22,325 (70.5%) • Toby Doeden (R): 9,345 (29.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): South Dakota Governor Republican Runoff • • Larry Rhoden (R): 22,325 (70.5%) • Toby Doeden (R): 9,345 (29.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: South Dakota Gov. Larry Rhoden fends off GOP challenger in primary runoff
In the Republican primary runoff for #SDGOV, incumbent Larry Rhoden will defeat businessman Toby Doeden, CNN projects. Rhoden trailed Doeden in the June primary, and this was the stateâ€s first-ever primary runoff for governor. • • Both ran as allies of Trump, who didnâ€t endorse.
In the Republican primary runoff for #SDGOV, incumbent Larry Rhoden will defeat businessman Toby Doeden, CNN projects. Rhoden trailed Doeden in the June primary, and this was the stateâ€s first-ever primary runoff for governor. • • Both ran as allies of Trump, who didnâ€t endorse.
Live: Incumbent Larry Rhoden wins the Republican primary runoff for South Dakota governor, NBC News projects
DDHQ Race Update (est. 16% in): South Dakota Governor Republican Runoff • • Larry Rhoden (R): 14,631 (71.7%) • Toby Doeden (R): 5,783 (28.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 16% in): South Dakota Governor Republican Runoff • • Larry Rhoden (R): 14,631 (71.7%) • Toby Doeden (R): 5,783 (28.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
South Dakota Gov. Larry Rhoden fends off GOP challenger in primary runoff
WASHINGTON (AP) — Larry Rhoden wins Republican nomination for governor in South Dakota
Decision Desk HQ projects Larry Rhoden wins the SD Governor Republican Runoff • • #DecisionMade: 9:07 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 11% in): South Dakota Governor Republican Runoff • • Larry Rhoden (R): 9,965 (72.6%) • Toby Doeden (R): 3,760 (27.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 11% in): South Dakota Governor Republican Runoff • • Larry Rhoden (R): 9,965 (72.6%) • Toby Doeden (R): 3,760 (27.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): South Dakota Governor Republican Runoff • • Larry Rhoden (R): 304 (76.0%) • Toby Doeden (R): 96 (24.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): South Dakota Governor Republican Runoff • • Larry Rhoden (R): 304 (76.0%) • Toby Doeden (R): 96 (24.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.