South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Lexington County Winner
Resolved3as of
This hub tracks 3 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
28 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Live: Darline Graham is previewing her argument against Dr. Annie Andrews, the Democratic nominee, calling her “the most radical liberal ever nominated for a statewide office by the South Carolina Democratic Party.”
“South Carolina Republicans, I humbly accept your nomination to serve as the Republican nominee for the United States Senate from the great state of South Carolina,” Sen. Darline Graham just declared at her watch party.
Darline Graham addresses Trump in her victory speech: "Our victory would not have been possible without you, and we are truly grateful. South Carolina is truly Trump country." #SCSEN
News: Sen. Darline Graham has won the GOP nomination for Senate, filling the spot of her brother, the late-Sen. Lindsey Graham, on the ballot. • • She defeated Rep. Ralph Norman. She’ll now take on Democrat Annie Andrews in November. • • @MSNOWNews •
AP: Darline Graham clearly beats Ralph Norman in SC GOP Senate primary. • • She is winning by some 17,000 votes currently... which... is exactly the margin Horry County gave her, where the Trump rally happened. • • (As friends in SC point out - he can claim an even more clear role in her victory.)
BREAKING: Darline Graham wins South Carolina GOP special Senate runoff, defeating Rep. Ralph Norman and handing Trump a major win • •
Trump-backed Darline Graham wins the Republican Senate runoff in South Carolina, defeating Rep. Ralph Norman in the race to succeed her late brother, Sen. Lindsey Graham. • • Graham is serving out the remainder of her brother’s term after being appointed to the seat following his death. Now, she moves one step closer to keeping it. • • President Trump endorsed Graham in the hard-fought GOP contest, putting his weight behind her as voters decided who will carry the Republican nomination into November.
Darline Graham will defeat Ralph Norman in the #SCSEN Republican special primary runoff, CNN projects
Live: Supporters of Senator Darline Graham are whooping, whistling and hugging. This watch party is turning into a celebration as the results look increasingly good for their candidate.
DDHQ Race Update (est. 65% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 129,916 (52.1%) • Ralph Norman (R): 119,234 (47.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: Darline Graham's holds narrow lead Republican Senate primary in South Carolina
#SCSEN special primary runoff tightens with 62% of vote in: • • Darline Graham 51.4% • Ralph Norman 48.6
DDHQ Race Update (est. 56% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 110,149 (51.3%) • Ralph Norman (R): 104,701 (48.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 17% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 35,426 (53.6%) • Ralph Norman (R): 30,678 (46.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 15% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 31,596 (54.4%) • Ralph Norman (R): 26,536 (45.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 14% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 29,073 (54.3%) • Ralph Norman (R): 24,508 (45.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 10% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 22,984 (56.9%) • Ralph Norman (R): 17,394 (43.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 10% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 21,456 (56.5%) • Ralph Norman (R): 16,492 (43.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 9% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 19,896 (57.3%) • Ralph Norman (R): 14,813 (42.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 8% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 16,593 (56.1%) • Ralph Norman (R): 12,988 (43.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 7% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 15,083 (56.1%) • Ralph Norman (R): 11,792 (43.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 6% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 12,787 (55.9%) • Ralph Norman (R): 10,083 (44.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 6% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 12,787 (55.9%) • Ralph Norman (R): 10,083 (44.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 3% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 5,628 (54.2%) • Ralph Norman (R): 4,759 (45.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 1,329 (68.2%) • Ralph Norman (R): 619 (31.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 173 (73.9%) • Ralph Norman (R): 61 (26.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
It was my Honor to welcome now Senator Darline Graham Nordone (The sister of the Late, Great Lindsey Graham!), from the Wonderful State of South Carolina, into the Oval Office. We have known each other for a long time — She is a spectacular person, and a true American Patriot. Lindsey was one of the greatest people and Senators I have ever known, and his sister shares his deep love of our Country, and the State of South Carolina. During her visit, I asked Darline, for the Good of our Nation, to run for the U.S. Senate in the Special Republican Primary on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. She accepted, as there is nobody better to honor the legacy of her beloved brother, Lindsey. Darline, who comes from an absolutely incredible family, has been a WINNER all of her life, and has my Complete and Total Endorsement in the Special Election for U.S. Senate in South Carolina. GET OUT AND VOTE FOR DARLINE — SHE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP Find your Voting Location here:
Live: Sen. Darline Graham optimistic ahead of South Carolina's Republican primary run-off
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Lexington County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Lexington County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Lexington County.