South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County Winner
Resolved3as of
This hub tracks 3 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Live: On Truth Social, Donald Trump said that Ralph Norman , the South Carolina representative who lost the Republican primary for Senate to Darline Graham on Tuesday
Congratulations to Senator Darline Graham on her victory in South Carolina’s Republican Senate primary. We hope she will be a blessing to her state and to America, and that she will continue to stand strong with Israel, as her late brother Senator Lindsey Graham did. • @DarlineGrahamSC
Live: Horry County, which includes Myrtle Beach, hugely turned out for Darline Graham. President Trump had told voters at a rally in the county last week to vote as if he were on the ballot. But Graham also made small gains across the rest of the state, as Ralph Norman failed to gain beyond the Upstate region, said Scott H. Huffmon, a professor of political science at Winthrop University in South Carolina and director of the Winthrop Poll.
Live: Horry County, which includes Myrtle Beach, hugely turned out for Darline Graham. President Trump had told voters at a rally in the county last week to vote as if he were on the ballot. But Graham also made small gains across the rest of the state, as Ralph Norman failed to gain beyond the Upstate region, said Scott H. Huffmon, a professor of political science at Winthrop University in South Carolina and director of the Winthrop Poll.
Live: 'I really hate it for the state': Ralph Norman reluctantly concedes to Darline Graham
Live: 'I really hate it for the state': Ralph Norman reluctantly concedes to Darline Graham
“South Carolina Republicans, I humbly accept your nomination to serve as the Republican nominee for the United States Senate from the great state of South Carolina,” Sen. Darline Graham just declared at her watch party.
Darline Graham addresses Trump in her victory speech: "Our victory would not have been possible without you, and we are truly grateful. South Carolina is truly Trump country." #SCSEN
Live: Merilyn Forti, a conservative in Myrtle Beach, S.C., didn’t get a chance to cast her ballot for Darline Graham tonight; summer traffic had slowed her down. But plenty of her friends and neighbors did, do she was never too worried, as Graham swept Horry County. The area includes the rapidly growing city of Myrtle Beach, an area deeply devoted to Trump.
News: Sen. Darline Graham has won the GOP nomination for Senate, filling the spot of her brother, the late-Sen. Lindsey Graham, on the ballot. • • She defeated Rep. Ralph Norman. She’ll now take on Democrat Annie Andrews in November. • • @MSNOWNews •
Darline Graham rides Trump endorsement to win GOP nomination for brother's South Carolina seat:
Rep. Ralph Norman concedes to Sen. Darline Graham but he's not happy about Trump's involvement on her behalf: "His policies are good, I never understood why he got in this race ... it is what it is I'll accept it" • • Also says "Democrats, they got what they wanted" • • "I accept it. I don't like it, but I accept it" • • Says he will support Graham "as best I can"
Rep. Ralph Norman concedes to Sen. Darline Graham but he's not happy about Trump's involvement on her behalf: "His policies are good, I never understood why he got in this race ... it is what it is I'll accept it" • • Also says "Democrats, they got what they wanted" • • "I accept it. I don't like it, but I accept it" • • Says he will support Graham "as best I can"
Live: Ralph Norman said he would call Darline Graham to congratulate her: “I will support her — Darline — as best I can.”
Live: Ralph Norman said he would call Darline Graham to congratulate her: “I will support her — Darline — as best I can.”
AP: Darline Graham clearly beats Ralph Norman in SC GOP Senate primary. • • She is winning by some 17,000 votes currently... which... is exactly the margin Horry County gave her, where the Trump rally happened. • • (As friends in SC point out - he can claim an even more clear role in her victory.)
AP: Darline Graham clearly beats Ralph Norman in SC GOP Senate primary. • • She is winning by some 17,000 votes currently... which... is exactly the margin Horry County gave her, where the Trump rally happened. • • (As friends in SC point out - he can claim an even more clear role in her victory.)
Live: “I hate it for the state,” Ralph Norman said of the results in South Carolina. “I really hate it for the state.” He noted $8 million was spent around him. “The president got involved — he has that right. He has that prerogative,” he said to boos. He praised President Trump’s policies but said he did not understand why the president took sides in the race.
Darline Graham ekes out a win in South Carolina, according to the AP. • • Despite Trump's endorsement, Graham leads by less than 17,000 votes out of more than 343,000 total cast (with 92% in).
BREAKING: Darline Graham wins South Carolina GOP special Senate runoff, defeating Rep. Ralph Norman and handing Trump a major win • •
Trump-backed Darline Graham wins the Republican Senate runoff in South Carolina, defeating Rep. Ralph Norman in the race to succeed her late brother, Sen. Lindsey Graham. • • Graham is serving out the remainder of her brother’s term after being appointed to the seat following his death. Now, she moves one step closer to keeping it. • • President Trump endorsed Graham in the hard-fought GOP contest, putting his weight behind her as voters decided who will carry the Republican nomination into November.
AP calls Senate primary runoff for Sen. Darline Graham over Rep. Ralph Norman
AP calls Senate primary runoff for Sen. Darline Graham over Rep. Ralph Norman
AP calls Senate race for Sen. Darline Graham over Rep. Ralph Norman
Darline Graham will defeat Ralph Norman in the #SCSEN Republican special primary runoff, CNN projects
Live: Darline Graham will win South Carolina GOP runoff for late brother's seat, CNN projects
BREAKING: Sen. Darline Graham defeats Rep. Ralph Norman in the South Carolina Senate GOP runoff, @NBCNews projects -- a major victory for President Trump who recruited, endorsed and campaigned for her following her brother Lindsey Graham’s death six weeks ago. • •
Live: Supporters of Senator Darline Graham are whooping, whistling and hugging. This watch party is turning into a celebration as the results look increasingly good for their candidate.
DDHQ Race Update (est. 65% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Runoff • • Darline Graham (R): 129,916 (52.1%) • Ralph Norman (R): 119,234 (47.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: Darline Graham's holds narrow lead Republican Senate primary in South Carolina
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Horry County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Horry County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Horry County.