South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

OpenOutcomes66as of

Market pricing makes Candidate A the favorite at 50% across 66 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Kamala Harrisalhadath94%match72¢
Amid her husband's reservations and Democratic skepticism, Kamala Harris's participation in the 2028 elections remains uncertain. Some Democrats believe the party needs a new candidate in the upcoming elections.
Kamala Harrisalarabiya93%match72¢
Amid her husband's reticence and Democratic skepticism, uncertainty surrounds Kamala Harris's participation in the 2028 elections. Some Democrats believe the party needs a new candidate in the upcoming elections.
Raphael Warnockapnews.com92%match14¢-14%
Live: Sen. Raphael Warnock launching midterm blitz that includes 2028 early primary states
Ocasio-Cortez surpasses Newsom as 2028 Dem presidential favorite on Polymarket

What is this event about?

South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.