South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

OpenOutcomes10as of

Market pricing makes 4.7-5.0% the favorite at 26% across 10 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

4.7-5.0%26%
4.4-4.7%21%
>5.0%18%
3.8-4.1%6%
2.9-3.2%5%
3.5-3.8%4%
4.1-4.4%4%
3.2-3.5%3%
<2.6%0%
2.6-2.9%0%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

4.1-4.4%dbws.io94%match30¢-87%
TABLE-South Africa consumer inflation at 4.3% year/year in July
4.1-4.4%dbws.io92%match30¢-87%
South Africa consumer inflation slows to 4.3% y/y in July
4.7-5.0%livesquawk93%match92¢-20%
South Africa CPI (Y/Y) July: 4.3% (est 4.5%; prev 5.0%) • - CPI (M/M): 0.2% (est 0.4%; prev 0.7%) • - CPI Core (Y/Y): 4.2% (est 4.2%; prev 4.1%) • - CPI Core (M/M): 0.5% (est 0.5%; prev 0.6%)
4.4-4.7%livesquawk93%match78¢+1%
South Africa CPI (Y/Y) July: 4.3% (est 4.5%; prev 5.0%) • - CPI (M/M): 0.2% (est 0.4%; prev 0.7%) • - CPI Core (Y/Y): 4.2% (est 4.2%; prev 4.1%) • - CPI Core (M/M): 0.5% (est 0.5%; prev 0.6%)
4.1-4.4%livesquawk93%match30¢-87%
South Africa CPI (Y/Y) July: 4.3% (est 4.5%; prev 5.0%) • - CPI (M/M): 0.2% (est 0.4%; prev 0.7%) • - CPI Core (Y/Y): 4.2% (est 4.2%; prev 4.1%) • - CPI Core (M/M): 0.5% (est 0.5%; prev 0.6%)
2.9-3.2%Reuters92%match96¢-1%
South Africa’s July Headline CPI at 0.2% M/M vs 0.7% in June (Consensus 0.4%) - Statistics SA
2.9-3.2%Reuters97%match6¢-17%
S.Africa’s CBank Statement: 2026 Fuel Inflation Seen at 10.5% (Pvs 15.6%)
3.2-3.5%Reuters97%match6¢-50%
S.Africa’s CBank Statement: 2026 Fuel Inflation Seen at 10.5% (Pvs 15.6%)
4.4-4.7%Reuters97%match95¢-17%
S.Africa’s CBank Statement: 2026 CPI Seen at 4.0% (Pvs 4.4%), 2027 CPI Seen at 3.8% (Pvs 3.7%)
3.8-4.1%Reuters97%match20¢-70%
S.Africa’s CBank Statement: 2026 CPI Seen at 4.0% (Pvs 4.4%), 2027 CPI Seen at 3.8% (Pvs 3.7%)
4.1-4.4%Reuters97%match69¢+39%
S.Africa’s CBank Statement: 2026 CPI Seen at 4.0% (Pvs 4.4%), 2027 CPI Seen at 3.8% (Pvs 3.7%)
4.7-5.0%dbws.io95%match9¢+189%
TABLE-South Africa consumer inflation at 5.0% year/year in June
>5.0%dbws.io96%match7¢+157%
TABLE-South Africa consumer inflation at 5.0% year/year in June
4.7-5.0%dbws.io93%match9¢+189%
South Africa consumer inflation quickens to 5.0% y/y in June
>5.0%dbws.io94%match7¢+157%
South Africa consumer inflation quickens to 5.0% y/y in June
4.7-5.0%livesquawk94%match9¢+189%
South Africa CPI (Y/Y) June: 5.0% (est 4.7%; prev 4.5%) • - CPI (M/M): 0.7% (est 0.5%; prev 0.7%) • - CPI Core (Y/Y): 4.1% (est 3.9%; prev 3.8%) • - CPI Core (M/M): 0.6% (est 0.4%; prev 0.2%)
4.4-4.7%livesquawk93%match95¢-17%
South Africa CPI (Y/Y) June: 5.0% (est 4.7%; prev 4.5%) • - CPI (M/M): 0.7% (est 0.5%; prev 0.7%) • - CPI Core (Y/Y): 4.1% (est 3.9%; prev 3.8%) • - CPI Core (M/M): 0.6% (est 0.4%; prev 0.2%)
>5.0%livesquawk93%match7¢+157%
South Africa CPI (Y/Y) June: 5.0% (est 4.7%; prev 4.5%) • - CPI (M/M): 0.7% (est 0.5%; prev 0.7%) • - CPI Core (Y/Y): 4.1% (est 3.9%; prev 3.8%) • - CPI Core (M/M): 0.6% (est 0.4%; prev 0.2%)
3.8-4.1%livesquawk93%match80¢+18%
South Africa CPI (Y/Y) June: 5.0% (est 4.7%; prev 4.5%) • - CPI (M/M): 0.7% (est 0.5%; prev 0.7%) • - CPI Core (Y/Y): 4.1% (est 3.9%; prev 3.8%) • - CPI Core (M/M): 0.6% (est 0.4%; prev 0.2%)
3.5-3.8%livesquawk92%match90¢+7%
South Africa CPI (Y/Y) June: 5.0% (est 4.7%; prev 4.5%) • - CPI (M/M): 0.7% (est 0.5%; prev 0.7%) • - CPI Core (Y/Y): 4.1% (est 3.9%; prev 3.8%) • - CPI Core (M/M): 0.6% (est 0.4%; prev 0.2%)
4.1-4.4%livesquawk92%match69¢+39%
South Africa CPI (Y/Y) June: 5.0% (est 4.7%; prev 4.5%) • - CPI (M/M): 0.7% (est 0.5%; prev 0.7%) • - CPI Core (Y/Y): 4.1% (est 3.9%; prev 3.8%) • - CPI Core (M/M): 0.6% (est 0.4%; prev 0.2%)
4.7-5.0%News96%match9¢+189%
*SOUTH AFRICA JUNE CONSUMER PRICES RISE 5% Y/Y; EST. +4.7%
>5.0%News96%match7¢+157%
*SOUTH AFRICA JUNE CONSUMER PRICES RISE 5% Y/Y; EST. +4.7%
2.9-3.2%semafor.com98%match13¢-62%
S. African central bank predicts reaching 3% inflation target
3.8-4.1%piqnewswire99%match81¢+16%
South Africa's headline consumer inflation quickened to 3.1% year on year in March from 3.0% in February. • • More Here →
2.9-3.2%piqnewswire99%match16¢-69%
South Africa's headline consumer inflation quickened to 3.1% year on year in March from 3.0% in February. • • More Here →
3.5-3.8%piqnewswire99%match82¢+17%
South Africa's headline consumer inflation quickened to 3.1% year on year in March from 3.0% in February. • • More Here →
2.6-2.9%piqnewswire99%match89¢+12%
South Africa's headline consumer inflation quickened to 3.1% year on year in March from 3.0% in February. • • More Here →
3.8-4.1%dbws.io99%match81¢+16%
South Africa consumer inflation rises to 3.1% y/y in March
2.9-3.2%dbws.io99%match16¢-69%
South Africa consumer inflation rises to 3.1% y/y in March

What is this event about?

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874

Related events