Sonora Governor Election Winner
Open46as of
Market pricing makes Lorenia Valles Sampedro the favorite at 54% across 46 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Candidate M50%
Candidate N50%
Candidate O50%
Candidate P50%
Candidate Q50%
Candidate R50%
Candidate S50%
Candidate T50%
Candidate U50%
Candidate V50%
Candidate W50%
Candidate X50%
Candidate Y50%
Candidate Z50%
Other50%
All further outcomes (16 more):
Patricia Mercado Castro · Natalia Rivera Grijalva · Manuel Scott Sánchez · Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas · Candidate A · Candidate B · Candidate C · Candidate D · Candidate E · Candidate F · Candidate G · Candidate H · Candidate I · Candidate J · Candidate K · Candidate L
What moved the odds?
A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.
What is this event about?
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.