São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner
Open32as of
This hub tracks 32 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Carlos Vila Nova100%
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All further outcomes (2 more):
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
The Constitutional Court of São Tomé and Príncipe declared Carlos Nova the winner of the presidential election.
West African island nation of São Tomé and Príncipe, President Vila Nova re-elected
Preliminary results indicate that Carlos Nova has won the São Tomé and Príncipe election.
Sao Tome and Principe President Vila Nova wins second term, preliminary results show
Sao Tome and Principe President Vila Nova Wins Second Term - Preliminary Results
What is this event about?
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.