São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Open41as of
This hub tracks 41 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
André do Prado100%
Salles0%
All further outcomes (11 more):
Candidate Q · Candidate R · Candidate S · Candidate T · Candidate U · Candidate V · Candidate W · Candidate X · Candidate Y · Candidate Z · Other
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
São Paulo has an important choice ahead, and I have no doubt: @Haddad_Fernando, @MarinaSilva and @simonetebetbr are the best team to take care of the people of São Paulo and defend the interests of Brazil. Haddad has already been by my side and helped to make a true revolution in education. Now, he is prepared to govern São Paulo and transform the lives of those who need it most. Marina and Tebet have the experience, courage and commitment to represent São Paulo in the Senate and defend the rights of the people. In São Paulo, it's Haddad, Marina and Tebet. It's work, it's commitment!
What is this event about?
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).