RI-02 Republican Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes8as of

This hub tracks 8 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Victor Mellor100%
Stephen Skoly0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate E0%
Other0%

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Victor MellorDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match99¢+1%
Decision Desk HQ projects Victor Mellor wins the RI US House 2 Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:33 PM EDT
Victor Mellorapnews.com99%match99¢+1%
Victor Mellor wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District
Victor MellorDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match95¢+5%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 66% in): Rhode Island US House 2 Republican Primary • • Victor Mellor (R): 5,540 (59.5%) • Stephen Skoly (R): 3,769 (40.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stephen SkolyDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 66% in): Rhode Island US House 2 Republican Primary • • Victor Mellor (R): 5,540 (59.5%) • Stephen Skoly (R): 3,769 (40.5%) • • Follow more results here: •

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.