RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

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Market pricing makes RFK Jr. Out by December 31? the favorite at 26%, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

27 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

YESNews99%match33¢-21%
*HHS OFFICIALS DECIDED TO REPLACE RFK JR. DEPUTY BEFORE HIS EXIT
YESnytimes.com99%match33¢-21%
Top Kennedy Spokesman Resigns in Protest Over New Vaping Policy
YESkatelyn_caralle99%match32¢-19%
NEW: Marty Makary resigned as FDA Commissioner today amid rising tensions with HHS and the White House over slow-rolling initiatives important to President Trump's MAHA and pro-life base, sources tell me.
NOnytimes.com98%match67¢+10%
Kennedy Is Driving a Vast Inquiry Into Vaccines, Despite His New Silence on the Issue
NOnewsmax98%match66¢+12%
U.S. health officials last week explored whether certain drugs within a widely prescribed class of antidepressants could face additional restrictions as Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. prepared to introduce a plan aimed at reducing their use, according to two people familiar with the discussions.
NOnewsmax98%match59¢+25%
U.S. health officials last week explored whether certain drugs within a widely prescribed class of antidepressants could face additional restrictions as Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. prepared to introduce a plan aimed at reducing their use, according to two people familiar with the discussions. •
NOboknowsnews99%match58¢+28%
New - WASHINGTON, May 8 (Reuters) - U.S. health department ​officials last week explored whether they could ban certain drugs in a widely prescribed class of antidepressants as Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy ‌Jr. prepared to roll out a plan to reduce their use, according to two people familiar with the discussions. w/@yabutaleb7
YEScnn.com98%match35¢-26%
Exclusive: Deleted tweets reveal new surgeon general pick criticized Trump and RFK Jr. health policies
NOcnn.com99%match72¢+3%
RFK Jr. launches plan to curb ‘overprescribing’ of psychiatric drugs
NOtheguardian.com99%match72¢+3%
US to take steps to curb antidepressant prescribing, RFK Jr says
NOnewsmax99%match72¢+3%
RFK Jr. is pushing a federal review of antidepressants and psychiatric drugs over concerns about overprescribing and patient risks, according to a report.
YESms.now99%match30¢-13%
RFK Jr. tried to apologize for this horribly racist remark —without actually owning it
NOnytimes.com99%match69¢+7%
Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. “is fine and has left the dinner,” according to his closest aide, Stefanie Spear.
YESms.now99%match25¢+4%
RFK Jr. tries and fails to defend cuts to NIH research and preschool programs
NOfoxnews99%match75¢-1%
NEW: HHS Secretary RFK Jr. shuts down Democrat talking points about “SECRET DEALS” with big pharma companies as he says the administration is bringing DOWN prices for the American people. • • RFK Jr.: “We've dropped IVF by 83%, we've dropped GLPs by 89%, insulin, COPD drugs, asthma drugs… the American people now they're paying the lowest cost in the world rather than the highest. And you want to go back on that?” • • SEN. WYDEN: "You're in bed with big pharma!" • • RFK Jr.: “You're telling me you don't have secret agreements here and secret meetings here in Congress all the time, every day?”
NOms.now99%match75¢-1%
RFK Jr. faces Senate health committee in final, decisive hearing for MAHA movement
NOwashingtonpost.com99%match75¢-1%
RFK Jr. to face his chief GOP antagonist in final budget hearing blitz
YESnytimes.com98%match25¢+4%
Kennedy Won’t Commit to Backing C.D.C. Director’s Vaccine Guidance
NOabcnews.com99%match75¢-1%
RFK Jr. says NIH cuts are 'painful,' defends firing of former CDC director
NOcnn.com99%match75¢-1%
On Capitol Hill, RFK Jr. defends vaccine policies, ongoing shakeups
NOfoxnews99%match75¢-1%
HHS Secretary RFK Jr. shuts down Democrat Troy Carter for trying to derail his congressional testimony: • • REP. CARTER: “I really wish you’d spend more time thinking about the American people, less time talking about whale heads, bear heads, and raccoon parts.” • • RFK JR.: “I don’t talk about any of those things! You guys are all talking about it!”
NOnbcnews.com99%match75¢-1%
Second hearing of the day with RFK Jr. begins
NOdbws.io99%match75¢-1%
Kennedy says HHS to reform Preventive Service Task Force
NOcgtneurope99%match75¢-1%
KENNEDY SAYS HHS WILL BE PUTTING SOLITICATIONS THIS WEEK IN FEDERAL REGISTRAR FOR NEW MEMBERS OF US PREVENTATIVE SERVICES TASK FORCE
NOReuters99%match75¢-1%
Kennedy Says HHS Will Be Putting Solitications This Week in Federal Registrar for New Members of US Preventative Services Task Force
NOpolitico98%match75¢-1%
CMS Administrator @DrOz says he and RFK Jr. "haven't disagreed" but the HHS Secretary "has strong sentiments." • • "We'll often have to talk issues through so I understand his perspective," Oz tells our @DashaBurns at @POLITICOLive's Health Care Summit.
NOFox Reporter99%match75¢-1%
HHS Sec RFK Jr makes spending request before a House and Senate panel today

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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