Pskov Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

OpenOutcomes28as of

Market pricing makes United Russia the favorite at 95% across 28 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Yablokospiegel.de94%match98¢-1%
Russia: Anti-war party Yabloko resists election committee
Yablokonews.tv-asahi.co.jp93%match98¢-1%
Russian Supreme Court rules against allowing anti-war party Yabloko to participate in parliamentary elections.
YablokoNews92%match98¢-1%
The Central Election Commission will urgently consider changes to the ballot paper when the decision on Yabloko comes into force.
YablokoWalla Reporter97%match98¢-1%
As expected, Russia's Supreme Court - an arm of the Kremlin - has disqualified the anti-war party Yabloko from running in the upcoming parliamentary elections, due next month. The petition was filed by a small nationalist party - one of those Putin allows to run to create a false image of pluralism - which accused the party of being an agent of the West aimed at undermining the Russian state.
YablokoUkrainian Media92%match98¢-1%
The only party that opposed the war was removed from the elections in Russia The Supreme Court of the Russian Federation decided to prevent the Yabloko party from participating in the elections. When announcing the decision, the judge did not even read the motivational part. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
YablokoReuters94%match98¢-1%
Russia’s Supreme Court Bars Anti-War Yabloko Party From Taking Part in Parliamentary Election
Yablokodbws.io92%match96¢+1%
Russian Supreme Court to consider barring anti-war Yabloko party from election, TASS reports
YablokoReuters92%match96¢+1%
Russian Supreme Court to Consider Lawsuit Barring Anti-War Yabloko Party From Parliamentary Elections, TASS Reports

What is this event about?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Assembly of Deputies of Pskov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Assembly of Deputies of Pskov Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Assembly of Deputies of Pskov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Pskov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Pskov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.

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