Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30? the favorite at 3%, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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