PA-07 House Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Bob Brooks (D) the favorite at 86% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Cook Political Report moves 18 House seats toward Democrats The Cook Political Report, an election handicapper, shifted 18 House seats toward Democrats’ favor in key battleground districts. The changes show how unfavorable the political environment continues to be for GOP candidates amid the war in Iran and the state of the economy. Republican Reps. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (Iowa), Zach Nunn (Iowa), Ryan Mackenzie (Pa.), Scott…
Live: Speaker Mike Johnson is making stops in battleground districts across Pennsylvania on Tuesday. He’s here in Bethlehem supporting Representative Ryan Mackenzie, a first-term Republican, who is garnering some local law enforcement endorsements. Johnson already made an appearance with Representative Scott Perry and is scheduled to appear later with Representative Rob Bresnahan.
News — Speaker Mike Johnson is kicking off a campaign swing through Pennsylvania today for 4 at-risk House Republicans, per sources. • • He’ll stop in districts held by Scott Perry, Ryan Mackenzie, Brian Fitzpatrick and Rob Bresnahan - all of whom are being heavily targeted by Dems. These are some of the House GOP’s toughest races in the country. • • PA is the first of 7 states Johnson plans to visit this week. He is also set to make swings through MICHIGAN and IOWA this week. • • via @politico
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).