PA-01 House Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Brian Fitzpatrick (R) the favorite at 63% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Brian Fitzpatrick won by 13 points in 2024. Now, Democrats smell blood in the water.
#PA01: Democrats continue to get more serious about defeating Brian Fitzpatrick: Hakeem Jeffries is heading to Bucks County on Saturday for a rally with Dem challenger Bob Harvie and Gov. Josh Shapiro
Fitzpatrick remains favored to win reelection in DDHQ's House forecast. But his position is far from secure: The forecast gives the incumbent just shy of a 2 in 3 chance of winning reelection in #PA01 over Democrat Bob Harvie.
Fitzpatrick remains favored to win reelection in DDHQ's House forecast. But his position is far from secure: The forecast gives the incumbent just shy of a 2 in 3 chance of winning reelection in #PA01 over Democrat Bob Harvie.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).