Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

OpenOutcomes32as of

This hub tracks 32 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

All further outcomes (2 more):

Candidate Y · Candidate Z

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Voting in the general elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina has ended, and preliminary results have been announced. According to preliminary results, the current head of the government, Savo Minić, has won the election for the President of the Republic of Srpska, and Željka Cvijanović has won the election for the Serbian member of the Presidency of BiH.
Voting in the general elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina has ended, and preliminary results have been announced. According to preliminary results, the current head of the government, Savo Minić, has won the election for the President of the Republic of Srpska, and Željka Cvijanović has won the election for the Serbian member of the Presidency of BiH.
Voting in the general elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina has ended, and preliminary results have been announced. According to preliminary results, the current head of the government, Savo Minić, has won the election for the President of the Republic of Srpska, and Željka Cvijanović has won the election for the Serbian member of the Presidency of BiH.
Voting in the general elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina has ended, and preliminary results have been announced. According to preliminary results, the current head of the government, Savo Minić, has won the election for the President of the Republic of Srpska, and Željka Cvijanović has won the election for the Serbian member of the Presidency of BiH.
Voting in the general elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina has ended, and preliminary results have been announced. According to preliminary results, the current head of the government, Savo Minić, has won the election for the President of the Republic of Srpska, and Željka Cvijanović has won the election for the Serbian member of the Presidency of BiH.
There are no serious political surprises to be expected following the elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), Yakov Smirnov, a research fellow at the Institute of Slavic Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, told Vedomosti. According to him, the main focus of the election race is traditionally on the fight for seats in the BiH presidency. “The recent visit of [leader of the ruling Republika Srpska party, the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats] Milorad Dodik to Moscow is directly related to the elections,” Smirnov noted. The expert believes that the position of Dodik’s party and its ratings remain quite high, and the meeting with Putin only further strengthened them. Today, BiH is electing members of the presidency, consisting of three people - a Bosniak, a Croat, and a Serb, who will jointly perform the functions of the head of state. In addition In addition, residents of BiH elect members of municipal representative bodies, and residents of the Republic of Srpska elect the president, vice-president, and members of the National Assembly. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android

What is this event about?

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.