Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Open58as of
Market pricing makes Alberto Núñez Feijóo the favorite at 80% across 58 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Person AH50%
Person AM50%
Person AR50%
Person D50%
Person I50%
Person N50%
Person S50%
Person X50%
Person AC50%
Person J50%
Person M50%
Person O50%
Person R50%
Person T50%
Person W50%
Person Y50%
Person AB50%
Person AD50%
Person AG50%
Person AI50%
Person AL50%
Person AN50%
Person AQ50%
Other50%
All further outcomes (28 more):
Cuca Gamarra · Carles Puigdemont · Óscar Puente · Person E · Person H · Yolanda Díaz · Santiago Abascal · Carlos Cuerpo · Person G · Person L · Person Q · Person V · Person AA · Person AF · Person AK · Person AP · Person K · Person P · Person U · Person Z · Person AE · Ernest Urtasun · Aitor Esteban · Pepa Millán · Borja Sémper · Person F · Person AJ · Person AO
What moved the odds?
A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.