Next Prime Minister of Italy?

OpenOutcomes60as of

Market pricing makes Giorgia Meloni the favorite at 45% across 60 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Giorgia Meloni and the popularity crisis among young Italian voters Polls show that Giorgia Meloni's government in Italy is increasingly losing popularity among young voters, a trend that could prove costly for her ahead of the general elections scheduled for next year. #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
Giorgia Melonimeaindia99%match43¢+5%
Prime Minister @narendramodi and Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni planted a Black Mulberry plant today in Rome. • • Known as Krishna Toot in India, the tree connects India and Italy through its culinary, medicinal and cultural significance. • • The plantation is another step in the ‘Ek Ped Maa Ke Naam’ initiative, promoting environmental consciousness and sustainable living.
Concluding a very productive visit to Italy. My discussions with Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni covered a wide range of sectors. A key outcome of the visit was our decision to elevate India-Italy ties to a Special Strategic Partnership, which will add new momentum to our cooperation in the years to come. • • I thank Prime Minister Meloni, the Government of Italy and the wonderful people of Italy for their friendship. • • @GiorgiaMeloni
Giorgia Melonialhadath99%match42¢+7%
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni posted a photo of herself with her daughter and commented: "Motherhood is the greatest gift and at the same time the deepest challenge that life can offer." The event:
I extend my sincere wishes to Giuseppe Conte for a speedy recovery from the surgery he will undergo. My best wishes to him for a speedy and full recovery.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related events