Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
Open35as of
Market pricing makes Jordan Bardella the favorite at 98% across 35 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Other50%
All further outcomes (5 more):
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What moved the odds?
17 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
9 days until voting closes at the 19th National Rally Congress! Members, there's still time: vote to support Jordan Bardella and renew the National Council, as we approach a decisive year for France!
LIVE
Jean-Philippe Tanguy reaffirms his support for Jordan Bardella, in whom he has "absolute confidence"
LIVE
Jean-Philippe Tanguy reaffirms his support for Jordan Bardella, in whom he has "absolute confidence"
Live: Jean-Philippe Tanguy reaffirms his support for Jordan Bardella, in whom he has "absolute confidence"
Live: Jean-Philippe Tanguy reaffirms his support for Jordan Bardella, in whom he has "absolute confidence"
Live: "FIGHTING TO MAKE MARINE LE PEN PRESIDENT"
From Aisne, everyone's behind @J_Bardella tonight on @LCI! In our regions, the French people expect concrete solutions, not controversies. In 2027, they can count on @MLP_officiel and Jordan Bardella to take action. #LeGrandEntretien
After one of the most meteoric rises in the history of French politics, Jordan Bardella, the 31-year-old top ally of Marine Le Pen, is fighting for his political life after allegations he made antisemitic comments as a teenager in 2013. •
Jordan Bardella's antisemitic writings: Marine Le Pen risks being drawn into the uncompromising defense of the RN president
Anti-Semitic remarks attributed to Jordan Bardella: Marine Le Pen maintains her "total" "confidence" in the RN president.
Anti-Semitic remarks attributed to Jordan Bardella: Marine Le Pen maintains her "total" "confidence" in the president of the National Rally
Jordan Bardella accused of anti-Semitism: Marine Le Pen maintains her "total" "confidence" in the president of the National Rally
Anti-Semitic remarks attributed to Jordan Bardella: Marine Le Pen maintains her "total" "confidence" in the president of the National Rally
Live: #BARDELLA "I have total confidence in Jordan!" Marine Le Pen reaffirms her support for her right-hand man in an interview with La Tribune Dimanche.
Anti-Semitic remarks attributed to Jordan Bardella: 60% of French people consider the revelations "serious," but only 38% think he should step down as president of the National Rally, according to a poll.
Anti-Semitic remarks attributed to Jordan Bardella: 60% of French people consider the revelations "serious", but only 38% think he should step down as president of the National Rally, according to a poll
French far-right party leader Bardella accused of antisemitism • • A French investigative journalism website says it has been able to authenticate antisemitic messages from 2013 attributed to the de facto deputy of far-right presidential candidate Marine Le Pen. The allegations against Jordan Bardella come seven months ahead of an election in which voters will choose a replacement for President Emmanuel Macron. Bardella has denied writing the messages and said he would file a legal case against the Mediapart outlet for defamation • #geneu_afp
What is this event about?
The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.
If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.