Next President of the National Rally in 2026?

OpenOutcomes35as of

Market pricing makes Jordan Bardella the favorite at 95% across 35 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Jordan Bardella95%
Other50%
Placeholder 150%
Placeholder 250%
Placeholder 350%
Placeholder 450%
Placeholder 550%
Placeholder 650%
Placeholder 750%
Placeholder 850%
Placeholder 950%
Placeholder 1050%
Placeholder 1150%
Placeholder 1250%
Placeholder 1350%
Placeholder 1450%
Placeholder 1550%
Placeholder 1650%
Placeholder 1750%
Placeholder 1850%
Placeholder 1950%
Placeholder 2050%
Placeholder 2150%
Marine Le Pen1%
Louis Aliot1%
David Rachline1%
Jean-Philippe Tanguy1%
Sébastien Chenu0%
Hélène Laporte0%
Laurent Jacobelli0%

All further outcomes (5 more):

Placeholder 22 · Placeholder 23 · Placeholder 24 · Placeholder 25 · Placeholder 26

What moved the odds?

A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.

What is this event about?

The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress. If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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