Next James Bond actor?

OpenOutcomes49as of

Market pricing makes Jack Lowden the favorite at 33% across 49 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Jack Lowden33%
Callum Turner14%
Jack Barton4%
Jack O'Connell4%
Paul Mescal3%
Jacob Elordi2%
Richard Madden2%
Harris Dickinson1%
Josh O'Connor1%
Tom Francis1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson0%
James Norton0%
Tom Hardy0%
Pierce Brosnan0%
Tom Holland0%
Henry Cavill0%
Theo James0%
Robert James-Collier0%
Timothee Chalamet0%
Michael B Jordan0%
Nicholas Galitzine0%
Jonathan Bailey0%
Tom Blyth0%
A woman
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All further outcomes (19 more):

Placeholder 14 · Placeholder 15 · Placeholder 16 · Placeholder 17 · Placeholder 18 · Placeholder 19 · Placeholder 20 · Placeholder 21 · Placeholder 22 · Placeholder 23 · Placeholder 24 · Placeholder 25 · Placeholder 26 · Placeholder 27 · Placeholder 28 · Placeholder 29 · Placeholder 30 · Other · No Bond chosen

What moved the odds?

1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Jack Lowdenafp98%match37¢-11%
British actor Gary Oldman on Friday backed his "Slow Horses" co-star Jack Lowden to be the new James Bond, as rumors swirl that the next 007 has been cast.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.