Next Country US Strikes
Resolved12as of
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10 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
US strikes ISIS in Syria
Colombia has reason to be alarmed in the wake of the operation in Caracas. The most imminent risk may be of American air strikes on gang-run drug laboratories inside the country
The US launched missiles in Syria on Saturday, the latest attack on Islamic State militants following the December deaths of two US soldiers, according to US Central Command.
The US military has struck ISIS targets in Syria, reports
*US IS CARRYING OUT STRIKES AGAINST ISIS IN SYRIA: REUTERS
The United States is currently carrying out strikes against ISIS in Syria, an official tells Reuters.
BREAKING: US military is carrying out strikes against ISIS in Syria
I think it’s time to do a desert storm on Iran and liberate it from its extremist government.
Trump Says US Will Begin Strikes On Cartels In Mexico
Trump yet again threatens Iran if they continue to shoot a protestors.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the first country against which the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the soil or any official embassy or consulate after the time of this market's creation.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the listed country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
If the U.S. does not strike another country by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2027". If the U.S. strikes a country which is not listed next, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. Statements within this time period from Trump claiming a qualifying strike will qualify, regardless of whether officially confirmed by the U.S. government.