New York Governor Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Kathy Hochul (D) the favorite at 96% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Live: Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive and Republican nominee for governor in New York, has just taken the stage at the Oncenter in Syracuse, where President Trump is slated to speak later this evening. Polls show Blakeman trailing Gov. Kathy Hochul, his Democratic opponent, by between nine and 19 percentage points.
Live: Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive and Republican nominee for governor in New York, has just taken the stage at the Oncenter in Syracuse, where President Trump is slated to speak later this evening. Polls show Blakeman trailing Gov. Kathy Hochul, his Democratic opponent, by between nine and 19 percentage points.
DDHQ POLLING AVERAGE UPDATE • • In New York's gubernatorial race, Democrat Kathy Hochul leads Republican Bruce Blakeman by nearly 12 percentage points. • • In the DDHQ Forecast, Hochul has a 90% chance to win.
DDHQ POLLING AVERAGE UPDATE • • In New York's gubernatorial race, Democrat Kathy Hochul leads Republican Bruce Blakeman by nearly 12 percentage points. • • In the DDHQ Forecast, Hochul has a 90% chance to win.
Hochul holds double-digit lead for New York governor, new poll finds New York Gov. Kathy Hochul (D), is leading her Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman by double digits in the Empire State’s gubernatorial race, according to a new poll. In the Emerson College Polling/PIX11 News poll, 52.4 percent of respondents said they would cast their ballot for Hochul, while 39.7 percent said the same of Blakeman. Nearly…
Hochul holds double-digit lead for New York governor, new poll finds New York Gov. Kathy Hochul (D), is leading her Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman by double digits in the Empire State’s gubernatorial race, according to a new poll. In the Emerson College Polling/PIX11 News poll, 52.4 percent of respondents said they would cast their ballot for Hochul, while 39.7 percent said the same of Blakeman. Nearly…
Live: President Trump will hold a rally in Syracuse, N.Y., on Friday afternoon, the Republican National Committee announced. The House races in that part of the state are not especially close, so the president is likely holding the event to boost the chances of Bruce Blakeman, the Republican candidate for governor of New York.
Kathy Hochul’s lead over Republican Bruce Blakeman shrinks to 9 points in New York governor’s race — Siena poll
Kathy Hochul’s lead over Republican Bruce Blakeman shrinks to 9 points in New York governor’s race — Siena poll
Bruce Blakeman within single digits of Kathy Hochul in NY governor’s race: poll
Bruce Blakeman within single digits of Kathy Hochul in NY governor’s race: poll
Vibe shift from 2022 Kathy Hochul, who badly under-performed in her gov race and fueled a mini red wave in New York; Democrats lost four House seats across NY that year (roughly the margin of the thin GOP majority).
Stupid Governor Kathy Hochul, who doesn’t care about New York State, has announced that she is on the side of Canada, which has been ripping us off for decades on Trade and Tariffs, with a specific target of Hochul and her State. They’re aiming at her because they consider her Weak and Ineffective — Not nice! She doesn’t want us to use the name, “Lake America,” she’d rather have Canada get a win. That’s the problem with Governor Hochul, and many other Dumocrats. She allows other Countries and States to take advantage of New York, which gets treated like “garbage.” They laugh at us up and down what was once called, “Lake Ontario,” what is now called “Lake America.” That is why Bruce Blakeman is going to be your next Governor. He’s an “animal,” he fights like hell, he doesn’t let anyone else win. He’s for the people. He’s smart and cunning, and will Lower your Taxes, and Stop Crime. VOTE FOR BRUCE BLAKEMAN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Stupid Governor Kathy Hochul, who doesn’t care about New York State, has announced that she is on the side of Canada, which has been ripping us off for decades on Trade and Tariffs, with a specific target of Hochul and her State. They’re aiming at her because they consider her Weak and Ineffective — Not nice! She doesn’t want us to use the name, “Lake America,” she’d rather have Canada get a win. That’s the problem with Governor Hochul, and many other Dumocrats. She allows other Countries and States to take advantage of New York, which gets treated like “garbage.” They laugh at us up and down what was once called, “Lake Ontario,” what is now called “Lake America.” That is why Bruce Blakeman is going to be your next Governor. He’s an “animal,” he fights like hell, he doesn’t let anyone else win. He’s for the people. He’s smart and cunning, and will Lower your Taxes, and Stop Crime. VOTE FOR BRUCE BLAKEMAN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.