New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Open30as of
Market pricing makes Su Chiao-hui the favorite at 51% across 30 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Su Chiao-hui51%
Candidate A50%
Candidate B50%
Candidate C50%
Candidate D50%
Candidate E50%
Candidate F50%
Candidate G50%
Candidate H50%
Candidate I50%
Candidate J50%
Candidate K50%
Candidate L50%
Candidate M50%
Candidate N50%
Candidate O50%
Candidate P50%
Candidate Q50%
Candidate R50%
Candidate S50%
Candidate T50%
Candidate U50%
Candidate V50%
Candidate W50%
Candidate X50%
Candidate Y50%
Candidate Z50%
Other50%
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Su Chiao-hui Christian Support Association; Vice President Hsiao encourages New Taipei City to move forward.
Lee Chuan-chuan campaigns in New Taipei City; Han Kuo-yu, Cheng Li-wen, and Huang Kuo-chang show their support.
Lee Chuan-chuan campaigns in New Taipei City; Han Kuo-yu, Cheng Li-wen, and Huang Kuo-chang show their support.
New Taipei City held a joint campaign rally; Vice President Hsiao stated that Su Chiao-hui is the most capable candidate.
What is this event about?
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).