New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Chris Pappas (D) the favorite at 89% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Pappas leads Sununu by 7 points in New Hampshire Senate race: Poll New Hampshire Rep. Chris Pappas (D) is leading in the state’s open U.S. Senate race against Republican nominee John E. Sununu, according to new polling released Tuesday. The New Hampshire Institute of Politics (NHIP) survey, commissioned by AARP, found the Democrat holds a 7-point advantage over his Republican opponent among likely voters in the state.…
Pappas leads Sununu by 7 points in New Hampshire Senate race: Poll New Hampshire Rep. Chris Pappas (D) is leading in the state’s open U.S. Senate race against Republican nominee John E. Sununu, according to new polling released Tuesday. The New Hampshire Institute of Politics (NHIP) survey, commissioned by AARP, found the Democrat holds a 7-point advantage over his Republican opponent among likely voters in the state.…
John E. Sununu was first elected to the Senate after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, becoming the youngest senator ever. Nearly two decades later, this Republican from a New Hampshire political family is seeking a comeback, a move that undoubtedly provides a much-needed boost to the Republican Party, which is struggling to maintain its slim Senate majority.
Americans for Prosperity announces a $22 million ad campaign for five Senate Republican candidates: • - #AKSEN: Dan Sullivan • - #IASEN: Ashley Hinson • - #MISEN: Mike Rogers • - #NHSEN: John Sununu • - #OHSEN: Jon Husted • Includes digital, connected TV, cable, &a... Americans for Prosperity announces a $22 million ad campaign for five Senate Republican candidates: • - #AKSEN: Dan Sullivan • - #IASEN: Ashley Hinson • - #MISEN: Mike Rogers • - #NHSEN: John Sununu • - #OHSEN: Jon Husted • Includes digital, connected TV, cable, & radio through Election Day.
Live: Republicans had high hopes for New Hampshire, a state that lingered at the bottom of most lists of competitive races. In Dallas, where they gathered earlier this month, a number of party strategists trumpeted their chances there to me. Chris Pappas’s five-point lead may dampen some of those hopes.
New - Senate poll - New Hampshire Chris Pappas 50% John Sununu 45% NOW/Siena - LV - 9/22
New - Senate poll - New Hampshire Chris Pappas 50% John Sununu 45% NOW/Siena - LV - 9/22
John E. Sununu (R)A political family dynasty, a strong Republican governor and an influx of GOP cash threatens to put Democrats on defense in New Hampshire as Republicans see a prime pickup opportunity in the marquee Senate contest. Republicans nabbed a recruitment win with former Sen. John E. Sununu (R) running against Rep. Chris Pappas (D) for retiring…95%match20¢-35%
Republicans see bright spot in New Hampshire with Sununu
John E. Sununu (R)Cook Political Report, an election handicapper, shifted its rating for the New Hampshire Senate race to “toss-up,” a significant move in Republicans’ favor, since Democrats need to keep that seat. Rep. Chris Pappas (D-N.H.) is challenging former Sen. John Sununu (R-N.H.), who has been out of the Senate for 18 years, for the seat opening…92%match17¢-24%
Cook Political report shifts New Hampshire toward Republican Sununu
84% chance Democrats win the New Hampshire senate race — Polymarket • •
84% chance Democrats win the New Hampshire senate race — Polymarket • •
Chris Sununu has been projected the winner in New Hampshire's Republican Senate primary, and leads former Senator Scott Brown by a 43-point margin. • • Brown is running closest in the Boston/Manchester media market, but is still down by 41 points there.
Republican John Sununu Takes Lead in New Hampshire Senate Race — UNH poll
President Trump endorsed John E. Sununu for New Hampshire Senate.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.