Negative GDP growth in 2026?

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Market pricing makes Negative GDP growth in 2026? the favorite at 3%, as of .

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Negative GDP growth in 2026?3%

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1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

NOfnn.jp92%match96¢+1%
GDP for April-June grew at an annualized rate of 1.1%, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive growth. However, personal consumption, which accounts for more than half of the economy, was negative.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

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