Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

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Market pricing makes Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31? the favorite at 13%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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