NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion

OpenOutcomes57as of

Market pricing makes Driver M the favorite at 50% across 57 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Driver M50%
Driver N50%
Driver P50%
Driver S50%
Driver T50%
Driver A50%
Driver B50%
Driver C50%
Driver D50%
Driver F50%
Driver G50%
Driver I50%
Driver J50%
Driver E50%
Driver L50%
Driver O50%
Driver Q50%
Ty Gibbs6%
Carson Hocevar4%
Kyle Larson4%
Ryan Preece1%
Shane van Gisbergen1%
Austin Cindric1%
Ty Dillon0%
Cody Ware0%
Michael McDowell0%
Connor Zilisch0%
Ross Chastain0%
Austin Dillon0%
Noah Gragson0%

All further outcomes (27 more):

Driver R · Other · Brad Keselowski · Daniel Suarez · Kyle Busch · Chase Elliott · Todd Gilliland · Riley Herbst · Zane Smith · Cole Custer · John Hunter Nemechek · Denny Hamlin · Ryan Blaney · AJ Allmendinger · Chris Buescher · Chase Briscoe · Christopher Bell · Josh Berry · Joey Logano · Bubba Wallace · William Byron · Ricky Stenhouse Jr. · Erik Jones · Tyler Reddick · Alex Bowman · Driver H · Driver K

What moved the odds?

A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by NASCAR to determine the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship based on the rules of NASCAR (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NASCAR.

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