NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion

OpenOutcomes57as of

Market pricing makes Kyle Larson the favorite at 50% across 57 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

NASCAR drivers got into a fight immediately after the race in Bristol. Ryan Blaney started throwing punches after colliding with Carson Hocevar during his attempt to win silver. He finished third, while his attacker, Blaney, was 33rd. The rivals got into a fight to somehow "discuss" a cut-off along the track. Hocevar punched his competitor twice, and the instigator responded with a punch to the face. The drivers were barely separated. Video not loading? Watch in MAX
Denny Hamlinapnews.com93%match40¢-45%
As Chase’s top seed, Denny Hamlin is optimistic about NASCAR title bid against surging Team Penske
Ryan Blaneyapnews.com94%match10¢-60%
Ryan Blaney wins second consecutive NASCAR Cup race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by NASCAR to determine the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship based on the rules of NASCAR (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NASCAR.