MO-06 Republican Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes17as of

This hub tracks 17 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Chris Stigall100%
James Ingram0%
Gena Ross0%
Nathan Willett0%
Candidate E0%
Cody Oshel0%
Nathanael Schultz0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate G0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate J0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate I0%
Other0%

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Chris Stigallapnews.com98%match99¢+1%
Live: Chris Stigall wins Missouri Republican primary to replace longtime US Rep. Sam Graves
Chris StigallAPws98%match99¢+1%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Chris Stigall wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Missouri's 6th Congressional District
Chris Stigallapnews.com98%match99¢+1%
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Chris Stigall wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Missouri’s 6th Congressional District

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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