MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs
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This hub tracks 30 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Junior Caminero100%
Yordan Alvarez100%
Ben Rice100%
Kyle Schwarber100%
Hunter Goodman100%
Pete Alonso100%
Matt Olson100%
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Munetaka Murakami finished the season with 1 hit and 35 home runs, the most home runs by a Japanese player in his first year in MLB, and aims for a playoff upset with 3rd place in the wild card round.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits 2 home runs in one game, leading the league among Japanese players this season.
[UPDATE] Munetaka Murakami hits solo home runs #34 and #35; Roki Sasaki strikes out two batters in the first inning (first reported at 2026-09-26T00:45:44.670127800Z)
[UPDATE] Munetaka Murakami hits solo home runs (34th and 35th of the season); Kazuma Okamoto hits a timely double (first reported at 2026-09-26T00:45:44.670127800Z)
Munetaka Murakami hits his 34th solo home run; Kazuma Okamoto hits a timely double.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits his 33rd home run of the season, his first in four games; the team wins its third consecutive home run.
Shohei Ohtani to return as a hitter on the 24th, Dodgers manager predicts
Munetaka Murakami hits his 33rd home run, his first in four games, to change the momentum! He created scoring opportunities early on with two walks and a hit-by-pitch, and the team won with 4 home runs and 14 runs, trailing the league leader by just one game.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 33rd home run in four games! He ties Okamoto for the most home runs by a Japanese player this season, a big hit to help the team reclaim first place, and is just three homers away from the rookie club record.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits game-winning 32nd home run, a three-run shot.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 32nd home run, a game-winning three-run homer, and his first major league triple, ending the White Sox losing streak and putting them back in first place, tied with the Guardians.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 33rd home run of the season, a three-run shot, for the second consecutive game; the Dodgers advance to the playoffs.
Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto hits his 32nd home run, the most by any Japanese player.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 32nd home run in two games; Munetaka Murakami and Seiya Suzuki go hitless.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 31st solo home run, tying him with Munetaka Murakami for the most home runs by a Japanese player. Despite two hits, the Blue Jays suffer their second consecutive loss due to early runs conceded.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 31st solo home run, tying him with Munetaka Murakami for the most home runs by a Japanese player. Despite two hits, the Blue Jays suffer their second consecutive loss due to early runs conceded.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits his 31st home run, his first in three games.
Shohei Ohtani dropped from the starting lineup again; Kazuma Okamoto hits a spectacular home run! Reaches 30 home runs in his rookie year in the majors, becoming only the second Japanese player in history to do so, after Munetaka Murakami.
Munetaka Murakami hit a go-ahead two-run homer, his 30th of the season and his first in 17 games, but struck out three more times afterward, resulting in a heartbreaking comeback loss for the White Sox.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run of the season, becoming the first Japanese player in his first year in Major League Baseball to do so.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, a two-run shot, becoming the first Japanese player to do so in his first year in the majors.
Munetaka Murakami reaches 30 home runs, a first for a Japanese player in his rookie year, and his first home run in 17 games.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, a two-run shot, becoming the first Japanese player to do so in his rookie year in the majors.
Munetaka Murakami becomes the first Japanese rookie to reach 30 home runs! He hits a two-run homer for the first time in 17 games to give his team the lead. He is just 5 home runs away from the rookie club record.
Munetaka Murakami went 12 games without a home run but drew 3 walks and recorded his first RBI in 12 games. The team suffered another loss despite 11 walks and hit batters, scoring only 3 runs, and are now 3 games behind the second-place Guardians.
Munetaka Murakami went hitless for the first time in two games, and is in a major slump with only 1 hit in 20 at-bats and 8 strikeouts in his last 5 games, for a batting average of .050. The team also suffered a walk-off home run from Peters off closer Senga.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits his 29th home run, putting him one home run away from his 30th of the season.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 29th home run! He also broke his own rookie record for most home runs, putting him one home run away from the 30-homer mark. Kazuma Okamoto is in second place with 25 home runs.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits his 28th home run, a game-winning two-run shot, to give the team their third consecutive win.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 28th home run, a two-run shot; Kazuma Okamoto gets one hit.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.