MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs
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Market pricing makes Matt Olson the favorite at 89% across 30 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Munetaka Murakami went hitless for the first time in two games, and is in a major slump with only 1 hit in 20 at-bats and 8 strikeouts in his last 5 games, for a batting average of .050. The team also suffered a walk-off home run from Peters off closer Senga.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits his 29th home run, putting him one home run away from his 30th of the season.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 29th home run! He also broke his own rookie record for most home runs, putting him one home run away from the 30-homer mark. Kazuma Okamoto is in second place with 25 home runs.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits his 28th home run, a game-winning two-run shot, to give the team their third consecutive win.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 28th home run, a two-run shot; Kazuma Okamoto gets one hit.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits game-winning 27th home run.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 25th solo home run, surpassing Kazuma Okamoto to become the Japanese rookie with the most home runs; a spectacular hit after a 6-game hiatus, but the White Sox suffer their fourth consecutive loss.
Shohei Ohtani of the Dodgers hits his 24th home run, a two-run shot, after being sidelined; he had two hits and two RBIs, but his team suffered a come-from-behind loss in Major League Baseball.
The Dodgers' winning streak comes to an end; Shohei Ohtani hits his 24th home run (a two-run shot) and his 34th multi-hit game of the season, but the pitching staff is hit hard and the team loses.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 24th home run, a two-run shot! This is his first home run in two games since missing the previous day's game, and it gives his team a 4-3 lead.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 23rd home run of the season, his first in 10 games, and his 10th leadoff homer of the season.
Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani hits his 23rd home run, his first in 10 games, and his first home run of the second half of the season.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 23rd home run of the season, his first in 10 games! His first home run in the 10th game of the second half of the season, a spectacular blast that fans had been eagerly awaiting at his home stadium for the first time in 16 days, drawing huge cheers from the crowd.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.