MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

OpenOutcomes41as of

Market pricing makes Pete Crow-Armstrong the favorite at 66% across 41 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Pete Crow-Armstrong66%
Shohei Ohtani21%
Kyle Schwarber7%
Juan Soto1%
Ketel Marte1%
Francisco Lindor1%
Ronald Acuña Jr.0%
Fernando Tatis Jr.0%
Mookie Betts0%
Bryce Harper0%
player A
player B
player C
player D
player E
player F
player G
player H
player I
player J
player K
player L
player M
player N
player O
player P
player Q
player R
player S
player T

All further outcomes (11 more):

player U · player V · player W · player X · player Y · player Z · player AA · player AB · player AC · player AD · Other

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Shohei Ohtaninikkei.com98%match43¢-51%
Shohei Ohtani hits leadoff home run, first of 26 years
Shohei Ohtaninikkei.com99%match41¢-49%
Shohei Ohtani hits a 3-run homer, his first of the season; Munetaka Murakami gets one hit.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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