Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?

ResolvedOutcomes1as of

This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

13 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

NONBC Reporter93%match96¢+4%
New: Mitch McConnell releases health update, saying he’s not ready to return to work yet • • He’s undergoing "intense physical therapy" in rehab facility, looks forward to returning "soon." • • McConnell has missed the last 38 Senate floor votes, by my count. • <br... New: Mitch McConnell releases health update, saying he’s not ready to return to work yet • • He’s undergoing "intense physical therapy" in rehab facility, looks forward to returning "soon." • • McConnell has missed the last 38 Senate floor votes, by my count. • •
NOnytimes.com95%match96¢+4%
Live: Senator Mitch McConnell, who has been hospitalized for six weeks, will not be returning to the Senate this week as lawmakers work toward their August recess. In a new statement from his office, McConnell, Republican of Kentucky, also said that he would not be at Fancy Farm, an annual state political picnic that he has attended for more than four decades.
NOPunchbowl Reporter93%match93¢+8%
Mitch McConnell releases a new statement saying he won’t make it to a big Kentucky political event this coming weekend. McConnell isn’t expected at Senate votes either
NOfoxnews92%match83¢+20%
WATCH: Sen. Josh Hawley says Mitch McConnell’s team owes Kentucky voters greater transparency. • • With McConnell recovering for more than a month following a fall and hospitalization, Hawley argued that elected officials and their staff have an obligation to keep constituents informed about a senator’s ability to serve.
NOdbws.io99%match76¢+32%
for Monday-Graham death, McConnell absence hang over U.S. Senate as Congress returns
NOtelegraph.co.uk99%match69¢+45%
Mitch McConnell reveals a fall led to his stay in hospital
NOdbws.io98%match84¢+19%
Mitch McConnell Breaks Silence on Hospitalization -- WSJ
NOtheguardian.com99%match90¢+11%
Mitch McConnell reveals fall led to hospitalization after weeks of silence
NODW Reporter99%match90¢+11%
Mitch McConnell says a fall led to his hospitalization, where he was later diagnosed with mild pneumonia.
NOthetimes.com99%match90¢+11%
Mitch McConnell reveals he was admitted to hospital after a fall
NOpolitico.com99%match90¢+11%
McConnell says he intends to return to the Senate — but not yet
NOaxios99%match90¢+11%
McConnell breaks weeks of silence about his hospitalization
NOPolitico Reporter98%match89¢+12%
Kentucky gov sending a letter to McConnell this morning asking for a health update:

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related events