Michigan Governor Election Winner
Open13as of
Market pricing makes Jocelyn Benson (D) the favorite at 95% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Live: The Michigan Corn Growers Association endorsed Jocelyn Benson, the state’s Democratic nominee for governor, in another sign of how Republican policies on trade and farming had eroded the party’s agricultural base. It was the first time that the group had endorsed a Democrat for governor, said Andrea Bitely, a spokeswoman for the group. The organization has endorsed Mike Rogers, the Republican, in Michigan’s competitive U.S. Senate race.
New - Michigan Governor poll - Michigan Jocelyn Benson 48% John James 43% NOW/Siena #B - LV - 9/22
New - Michigan Governor poll - Michigan Jocelyn Benson 48% John James 43% NOW/Siena #B - LV - 9/22
Since winning the Democratic primary in Michigan, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed has secured a clear advantage over Republican Mike Rogers in the DDHQ Forecast. • • El-Sayed leads our forecast with a 70% win probability, his highest probability since June.
Democrats target Trump's affordability crisis in 2026 offensive
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.