Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 35 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
All further outcomes (5 more):
Candidate Q · Candidate S · Candidate U · Candidate W · Candidate Y
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Live: US Rep. John James calls on Michigan’s ‘politically homeless’ to join him after GOP gubernatorial nomination win
Doesn't sound like John James is getting an immediate endorsement from Perry Johnson, who suggests "the career politicians and special interests" won tonight #MIGOV
Doesn't sound like John James is getting an immediate endorsement from Perry Johnson, who suggests "the career politicians and special interests" won tonight #MIGOV
Live: John James wins Republican nomination in Michigan governor's race
Live: Trump-backed Rep. John James will win Michigan GOP gubernatorial primary, CNN projects
Live: GOP Rep. John James to face off against Democrat Jocelyn Benson in Michigan governor race
GOP Rep. John James to face off against Democrat Jocelyn Benson in Michigan governor race
Live: US Rep. John James, backed by Trump, wins Michigan Republican primary for governor
Live: Trump scores key battleground victory as John James wins Michigan GOP primary
Live: Rep. John James projected to win Michigan GOP gubernatorial primary
WASHINGTON (AP) — John James wins Republican nomination for governor in Michigan
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — John James wins Republican nomination for governor in Michigan
Live: John James wins the Republican primary for Michigan governor, NBC News projects
Trump-backed John James wins Michigan’s GOP primary for governor
Decision Desk HQ projects John James wins the MI Governor Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 9:14 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 12% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 59,809 (51.5%) • Perry Johnson (R): 41,291 (35.6%) • Mike Cox (R): 13,761 (11.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 12% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 59,809 (51.5%) • Perry Johnson (R): 41,291 (35.6%) • Mike Cox (R): 13,761 (11.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 12% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 59,809 (51.5%) • Perry Johnson (R): 41,291 (35.6%) • Mike Cox (R): 13,761 (11.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 5% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 22,004 (50.7%) • Perry Johnson (R): 15,473 (35.6%) • Mike Cox (R): 5,327 (12.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 5% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 22,004 (50.7%) • Perry Johnson (R): 15,473 (35.6%) • Mike Cox (R): 5,327 (12.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 5% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 22,004 (50.7%) • Perry Johnson (R): 15,473 (35.6%) • Mike Cox (R): 5,327 (12.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 4,121 (50.3%) • Perry Johnson (R): 2,706 (33.0%) • Mike Cox (R): 1,188 (14.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 4,121 (50.3%) • Perry Johnson (R): 2,706 (33.0%) • Mike Cox (R): 1,188 (14.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 4,121 (50.3%) • Perry Johnson (R): 2,706 (33.0%) • Mike Cox (R): 1,188 (14.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 964 (49.2%) • Perry Johnson (R): 595 (30.4%) • Mike Cox (R): 346 (17.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 964 (49.2%) • Perry Johnson (R): 595 (30.4%) • Mike Cox (R): 346 (17.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Michigan Governor Republican Primary • • John James (R): 964 (49.2%) • Perry Johnson (R): 595 (30.4%) • Mike Cox (R): 346 (17.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
I spoke with Perry Johnson tonight about Mike Cox dropping out of #MIGov and leaving a two-way race between Johnson and John James. • • “I think his dropping out is going to actually help my numbers.” • •
Cox exits #MIGov primary, vowing to follow Trump’s lead and back John James over Perry Johnson in the Republican primary.
Cox exits #MIGov primary, vowing to follow Trump’s lead and back John James over Perry Johnson in the Republican primary.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.