Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner

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This hub tracks 6 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Haley Stevensnbcnews.com96%match3¢-100%
Live: Rep. Haley Stevens says she's offered Abdul El-Sayed her full support in Senate race
Abdul El-Sayednytimes.com98%match3¢-100%
Live: Abdul El-Sayed’s speech Wednesday morning after he was declared the winner of Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary was more geared toward party unity and reaching out to supporters of his opponent, Haley Stevens, than the one he delivered at his campaign party late Tuesday night. He ended his remarks on Wednesday on lofty terms, saying the race is about “who we are as a country” and saying, “My story in America is about as unlikely as it gets.”
Abdul El-Sayedalmayadeenlive97%match3¢-100%
United States of America: Progressive candidate Abdul Sayed defeats his AIPAC-backed opponent, Haley Stevens, in the Democratic Party primary in Michigan.
Haley Stevensnypost.com94%match3¢-100%
Live: Rep. Haley Stevens concedes to Dr. Abdul El-Sayed
Schumer, who backed Haley Stevens, and DSCC Chair Kirsten Gillibrand back Abdul El-Sayed now that he’s officially the Dem nominee
Haley Stevensnytimes.com96%match3¢-100%
Live: Representative Haley Stevens called Dr. Abdul El-Sayed to concede this morning, said Arik Wolk, a spokesman for the Stevens campaign.
Haley StevensMS NOW Reporter94%match2¢-100%
Campaign says Rep. Haley Stevens called Abdul El-Sayed to concede moments ago, @EugeneDaniels2 reports
Haley Stevenscnn.com93%match7¢+1329%
Live: Gretchen Whitmer broke monthslong neutrality to endorse Haley Stevens in Senate primary

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Genesee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.

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