MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes20as of

This hub tracks 20 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Jeremy Moss100%
Aisha Farooqi0%
Dave Woodward0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate J0%
Candidate L0%
Candidate N0%
Other0%
Andy Levin0%
Don Ufford0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate E0%
Candidate G0%
Candidate I0%
Candidate K0%
Candidate M0%
Candidate O0%

What moved the odds?

15 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Jeremy MossSemafor Reporter97%match100¢
Jeremy Moss wins #MI11, the safe D district Stevens is vacating... like #MO01, progressive money didn't show up for weak challengers to the more center-left (and Jewish, pro-Israel) Dem.
Aisha Farooqinypost.com93%match100¢
Live: Progressive Aisha Farooqi loses race to succeed Haley Stevens
Jeremy Mossfoxnews.com97%match100¢
Live: Michigan State Sen. Jeremy Moss wins Democratic primary for Rep. Haley Steven's seat
Jeremy MossDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
Decision Desk HQ projects Jeremy Moss wins the MI US House 11 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 9:48 PM EDT
Jeremy MossDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 65% in): Michigan US House 11 Democratic Primary • • Jeremy Moss (D): 48,894 (49.2%) • Aisha Farooqi (D): 32,781 (33.0%) • John Torres (D): 9,547 (9.6%) • Don Ufford (D): 8,154 (8.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Aisha FarooqiDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 65% in): Michigan US House 11 Democratic Primary • • Jeremy Moss (D): 48,894 (49.2%) • Aisha Farooqi (D): 32,781 (33.0%) • John Torres (D): 9,547 (9.6%) • Don Ufford (D): 8,154 (8.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Don UffordDecision Desk (DDHQ)96%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 65% in): Michigan US House 11 Democratic Primary • • Jeremy Moss (D): 48,894 (49.2%) • Aisha Farooqi (D): 32,781 (33.0%) • John Torres (D): 9,547 (9.6%) • Don Ufford (D): 8,154 (8.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Jeremy MossAPws98%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Jeremy Moss wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Michigan's 11th Congressional District
Jeremy Mossapnews.com98%match100¢
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Jeremy Moss wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District
Jeremy MossAxios Reporter98%match99¢+1%
Looks like establishment-backed state Sen. Jeremy Moss is fairly well-positioned to win the Democratic nomination to succeed Haley Stevens in #MI11 over progressive rival Aisha Farooqi
Aisha FarooqiAxios Reporter97%match95¢+5%
Looks like establishment-backed state Sen. Jeremy Moss is fairly well-positioned to win the Democratic nomination to succeed Haley Stevens in #MI11 over progressive rival Aisha Farooqi
Jeremy Mossnbcnews.com98%match95¢+5%
Live: Jeremy Moss wins the Democratic primary for Michigan's 11th Congressional District, NBC News projects
Jeremy MossDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match92¢+9%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 59% in): Michigan US House 11 Democratic Primary • • Jeremy Moss (D): 44,871 (49.4%) • Aisha Farooqi (D): 29,681 (32.7%) • John Torres (D): 8,768 (9.7%) • Don Ufford (D): 7,436 (8.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Aisha FarooqiDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match94¢+6%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 59% in): Michigan US House 11 Democratic Primary • • Jeremy Moss (D): 44,871 (49.4%) • Aisha Farooqi (D): 29,681 (32.7%) • John Torres (D): 8,768 (9.7%) • Don Ufford (D): 7,436 (8.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Don UffordDecision Desk (DDHQ)96%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 59% in): Michigan US House 11 Democratic Primary • • Jeremy Moss (D): 44,871 (49.4%) • Aisha Farooqi (D): 29,681 (32.7%) • John Torres (D): 8,768 (9.7%) • Don Ufford (D): 7,436 (8.2%) • • Follow more results here: •

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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