MI-10 Republican Primary Winner
Resolved21as of
This hub tracks 21 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Live: Trump-backed Mike Bouchard will win GOP primary in Michigan’s 10th District, CNN projects
Live: Trump-endorsed Mike Bouchard wins Michigan’s 10th District Republican primary
U.S. Army Veteran Mike Bouchard Wins Republican Nomination for Open Seat in Michigan’s Competitive U.S. House District 10 - NBC Projects
U.S. Army Veteran Mike Bouchard Wins Republican Nomination for Open Seat in Michigan’s Competitive U.S. House District 10 - CNN
U.S. Army Veteran Mike Bouchard Wins Republican Nomination for Open Seat in Michigan’s Competitive U.S. House District 10 - AP Projects
U.S. Army Veteran Mike Bouchard Wins Republican Nomination for Open Seat in Michigan’s Competitive U.S. House District 10 - Ddhq
DDHQ Race Update (est. 5% in): Michigan US House 10 Republican Primary • • Michael Bouchard (R): 2,435 (67.8%) • Justin Kirk (R): 811 (22.6%) • Robert Lulgjuraj (R): 222 (6.2%) • Steffan Demetropoulos (R): 124 (3.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 5% in): Michigan US House 10 Republican Primary • • Michael Bouchard (R): 2,435 (67.8%) • Justin Kirk (R): 811 (22.6%) • Robert Lulgjuraj (R): 222 (6.2%) • Steffan Demetropoulos (R): 124 (3.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): Michigan US House 10 Republican Primary • • Michael Bouchard (R): 377 (69.2%) • Justin Kirk (R): 129 (23.7%) • Robert Lulgjuraj (R): 24 (4.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): Michigan US House 10 Republican Primary • • Michael Bouchard (R): 377 (69.2%) • Justin Kirk (R): 129 (23.7%) • Robert Lulgjuraj (R): 24 (4.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.