MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 7 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Live: Socialist Kyle Blomquist loses Michigan Democratic primary bid to Callie Barr
Live: Socialist Kyle Blomquist loses Michigan Democratic primary bid to Callie Barr
WASHINGTON (AP) — Callie Barr wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Michigan's 1st Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Callie Barr wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District
Looks like Kyle Blomquist will lose in #MI01, a GOP seat that there have been several Dem attempts to win back with less liberal candidates. Blomquist got the DSA endorsement, got folded into some DSA Rising coverage, currently losing everywhere outside of Traverse City.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.