Maranhão Senate Election: 1st Place
Open38as of
Market pricing makes Roseana Sarney the favorite at 56% across 38 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Candidate T50%
Candidate V50%
Candidate W50%
Candidate X50%
Other50%
Candidate F50%
Candidate G50%
Candidate I50%
Candidate J50%
Candidate K50%
Candidate M50%
Candidate Q50%
Candidate A50%
Candidate B50%
Candidate C50%
Candidate D50%
Candidate E50%
Candidate H50%
Candidate L50%
Fufuca7%
All further outcomes (8 more):
Candidate N · Candidate O · Candidate P · Candidate R · Candidate S · Candidate U · Candidate Y · Candidate Z
What moved the odds?
A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.
What is this event about?
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).