Maine Governor Election Winner

OpenOutcomes13as of

Market pricing makes Hannah Pingree (D) the favorite at 95% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Hannah Pingree (D)95%
Robert Charles (R)5%
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What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Hannah Pingree (D)Decision Desk (DDHQ)98%match95¢
DDHQ POLLING AVERAGE UPDATE • • Our polling average for Maine's gubernatorial race is live! • • Democrat Hannah Pingree leads Republican Bobby Charles by nearly a 12-point margin. • • The DDHQ Forecast rates this as Likely Democratic.
Robert Charles (R)Decision Desk (DDHQ)94%match95¢
DDHQ POLLING AVERAGE UPDATE • • Our polling average for Maine's gubernatorial race is live! • • Democrat Hannah Pingree leads Republican Bobby Charles by nearly a 12-point margin. • • The DDHQ Forecast rates this as Likely Democratic.
Hannah Pingree (D)CBS Reporter98%match95¢
MAINE GOV RACE: Democrat Hannah Pingree's lead in the governor's race hews much more closely to the state's overall partisan lean. (Kamala Harris won the state.) Pingree gets some of the voters who are splitting their tickets to back Collins.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.