Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President
Open2as of
Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 14% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
December 3114%
June 300%
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas: — We hope that the joint defense agreement between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan will be the beginning of a more comprehensive agreement that enhances the security and stability of the region. — The agreement contributes to strengthening security and stability and protects the interests of the Islamic nation. — We welcome the efforts of Turkey, Egypt, Qatar, and the United States to achieve a ceasefire in Gaza. — Gaza is an integral part of the State of Palestine, and "there is no state in Gaza and no state without Gaza." Any arrangements regarding Gaza must be made through the State of Palestine. — A just peace can only be achieved by ending the occupation and establishing an independent State of Palestine with East Jerusalem as its capital. — We reaffirm our commitment to holding legislative elections on November 28, 2026, followed by National Council and presidential elections in 2027.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.