Maduro out
Resolved6as of
This hub tracks 6 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
President Nicolás Maduro approaches his last act as Venezuela’s autocratic leader
President Nicolás Maduro approaches his last act as Venezuela’s autocratic leader
Maduro celebrates not having been mentioned in Trump’s speech
OSLO-NOBEL PEACE PRIZE LAUREATE MACHADO: MADURO WILL LEAVE POWER, WHETHER THERE IS A NEGOTIATED TRANSITION OR NOT
NOBEL LAUREATE MACHADO: "MADURO IS GOING OUT"
NOBEL LAUREATE MACHADO: "MADURO IS GOING OUT"
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuela's president, Nicolás Maduro, is removed from power for any length of time between January 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
President Nicolás Maduro will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Venezuela within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.