Lecornu out as French PM
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Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 28% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .
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What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Aurélien Taché (LFI): "I think Sébastien Lecornu will be ousted in the coming weeks over the budget, or perhaps even before."
FLASH | Sébastien Lecornu will convene a monitoring unit tomorrow at Matignon to review the hantavirus situation. (BFMTV)
France's PM Lecornu uses constitutional powers to force the income part of the 2026 budget through the lower house without a vote.
French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu faces a key vote on the social security budget on Tuesday that risks fueling political turbulence
What is this event about?
On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.