Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

OpenOutcomes36as of

This hub tracks 36 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

AS100%
JV0%
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NA0%
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All further outcomes (6 more):

Party U · Party V · Party W · Party X · Party Y · Party Z

What moved the odds?

5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

PROhandelsblatt.com96%match100¢
Latvia: Pro-European ruling party wins clear victory in parliamentary elections
The Latvian Prime Minister's political coalition is leading in preliminary parliamentary election results.
The Latvian Prime Minister's political coalition is leading in preliminary parliamentary election results.
PROspiegel.de95%match100¢
Latvia: Andris Kulbergs' pro-European ruling party wins parliamentary election
PROUkrainian Media93%match100¢
Pro-Ukrainian parties lead in Latvian parliamentary elections - Latvian media On Saturday, parliamentary elections were held in Latvia, and according to exit polls, the United List party of the current Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs is winning, which indicates the country's continued pro-European course and continued support for Ukraine, reports the public broadcaster LSM. "This is not the end, but the result is higher than expected. This means that people really want change," Kulbergs told reporters after the announcement of the data ...

What is this event about?

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).