KY-06 House Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Ralph Alvarado (R) the favorite at 67% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .
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What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
New ad for Zach Dembo, part of a six-figure buy, is up in KY 6, and it features Andy Beshear.
New - House poll - Kentucky (KY-06) Zach Dembo 42% Ralph Alvarado 37% GQR #C - LV - 9/30
New - House poll - Kentucky (KY-06) Zach Dembo 42% Ralph Alvarado 37% GQR #C - LV - 9/30
What Dems are seeing in #KY06, per a new internal poll from Zach Dembo’s campaign: • • Dembo 42 • Ralph Alvarado (R) 37 • Third-party candidates 11 • Undecided 9 • • (GQR; Sept. 25-30; 401 LVs; +/-4.9%) • •
What Dems are seeing in #KY06, per a new internal poll from Zach Dembo’s campaign: • • Dembo 42 • Ralph Alvarado (R) 37 • Third-party candidates 11 • Undecided 9 • • (GQR; Sept. 25-30; 401 LVs; +/-4.9%) • •
Andy Beshear’s PAC puts another $250K into #KY06, the Trump +15 seat he’s trying to flip for former aide Zach Dembo: • • • •
Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear pushes to flip a Republican-friendly House seat in test of his political reach #KY06
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).