Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026? the favorite at 4%, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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